The Nation has a useful round-up of the debate about a possible attack on Iran, along with some disquieting news about US naval movements. Essential reading.
recent ship movements and other signs of
military preparedness could be simply a bluff designed to show toughness
in the bargaining with Iran over its nuclear program. But with the Iranian
coast reportedly armed to the teeth with Chinese Silkworm antiship
missiles, and possibly even more sophisticated Russian antiship weapons,
against which the Navy has little reliable defenses, it seems unlikely
the Navy would risk high-value assets like aircraft carriers or cruisers
with such a tactic. Nor has bluffing been a Bush MO to date. (The Nation)
Essentially, the debate boils down to this: could they really be that stupid? Unfortunately, they’ve got form.